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By (user no longer on site) OP
over a year ago
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Some new questions for those of you who want to play:
- what is the probability Donald Trump will be elected US President in 2016?
- what is the probability that Owen Smith will be elected leader of the Labour Party at the next leadership election?
- what is the probability that francois Hollande will be re-elected president of France at the next French general election?
- what is the probability that Keith Vaz will be charged by the police with a crime before 1st January 2017?
- what is the probability the Ched Evans retrial in October will return a not guilty verdict?
Remember you don't have to do all of them, pick the ones you want to predict. |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
|
"
- what is the probability Donald Trump will be elected US President in 2016?
0%
- what is the probability that Owen Smith will be elected leader of the Labour Party at the next leadership election?
0%
- what is the probability that francois Hollande will be re-elected president of France at the next French general election?
25%
- what is the probability that Keith Vaz will be charged by the police with a crime before 1st January 2017?
0%
- what is the probability the Ched Evans retrial in October will return a not guilty verdict?
50%
"
|
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By (user no longer on site) OP
over a year ago
|
"
- what is the probability Donald Trump will be elected US President in 2016?
0%
- what is the probability that Owen Smith will be elected leader of the Labour Party at the next leadership election?
0%
- what is the probability that francois Hollande will be re-elected president of France at the next French general election?
25%
- what is the probability that Keith Vaz will be charged by the police with a crime before 1st January 2017?
0%
- what is the probability the Ched Evans retrial in October will return a not guilty verdict?
50%
"
Welcome to the game, fancy joining part 1 too? |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
|
"
- what is the probability Donald Trump will be elected US President in 2016?
0%
- what is the probability that Owen Smith will be elected leader of the Labour Party at the next leadership election?
0%
- what is the probability that francois Hollande will be re-elected president of France at the next French general election?
25%
- what is the probability that Keith Vaz will be charged by the police with a crime before 1st January 2017?
0%
- what is the probability the Ched Evans retrial in October will return a not guilty verdict?
50%
Welcome to the game, fancy joining part 1 too? "
Already have.... I put 0% to them all  |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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I think Hilary's illness might have just given a temporary boost, however whether he can keep his foot out of his mouth for two months is another question!.
I'll go 30%.
.
Smith must be the only person in the labour party less electable than corbyn... I'll go 20%
.
Holland is facing tuff times but he is in power and that's a big advantage, lepenn might just grab enough right wing votes to split it and sneak him back in again toss up 50%.
.
Vaz is a slippery one, I think he'll probably escape like most other politicans 10%
.
Evans I'm presuming thinks he has a good case or he wouldn't have brought it....70%
|
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- what is the probability Donald Trump will be elected US President in 2016?
30%
- what is the probability that Owen Smith will be elected leader of the Labour Party at the next leadership election?
40%
- what is the probability that francois Hollande will be re-elected president of France at the next French general election?
20%
- what is the probability that Keith Vaz will be charged by the police with a crime before 1st January 2017?
0%
- what is the probability the Ched Evans retrial in October will return a not guilty verdict
100% |
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By (user no longer on site) OP
over a year ago
|
"- what is the probability Donald Trump will be elected US President in 2016?
30%
- what is the probability that Owen Smith will be elected leader of the Labour Party at the next leadership election?
40%
- what is the probability that francois Hollande will be re-elected president of France at the next French general election?
20%
- what is the probability that Keith Vaz will be charged by the police with a crime before 1st January 2017?
0%
- what is the probability the Ched Evans retrial in October will return a not guilty verdict
100%"
Welcome and check out the round 1 options too: https://m.fabswingers.com/forum/politics/548797#message_11217016 |
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By *oo hotCouple
over a year ago
North West |
"Some new questions for those of you who want to play:
- what is the probability Donald Trump will be elected US President in 2016?
- what is the probability that Owen Smith will be elected leader of the Labour Party at the next leadership election?
- what is the probability that francois Hollande will be re-elected president of France at the next French general election?
- what is the probability that Keith Vaz will be charged by the police with a crime before 1st January 2017?
- what is the probability the Ched Evans retrial in October will return a not guilty verdict?
Remember you don't have to do all of them, pick the ones you want to predict. "
- what is the probability Donald Trump will be elected US President in 2016?
Fair
- what is the probability that Owen Smith will be elected leader of the Labour Party at the next leadership election?
Little
- what is the probability that francois Hollande will be re-elected president of France at the next French general election?
Little
- what is the probability that Keith Vaz will be charged by the police with a crime before 1st January 2017?
Fair
- what is the probability the Ched Evans retrial in October will return a not guilty verdict?
Good |
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By (user no longer on site) OP
over a year ago
|
"Some new questions for those of you who want to play:
- what is the probability Donald Trump will be elected US President in 2016?
- what is the probability that Owen Smith will be elected leader of the Labour Party at the next leadership election?
- what is the probability that francois Hollande will be re-elected president of France at the next French general election?
- what is the probability that Keith Vaz will be charged by the police with a crime before 1st January 2017?
- what is the probability the Ched Evans retrial in October will return a not guilty verdict?
Remember you don't have to do all of them, pick the ones you want to predict.
- what is the probability Donald Trump will be elected US President in 2016?
Fair
- what is the probability that Owen Smith will be elected leader of the Labour Party at the next leadership election?
Little
- what is the probability that francois Hollande will be re-elected president of France at the next French general election?
Little
- what is the probability that Keith Vaz will be charged by the police with a crime before 1st January 2017?
Fair
- what is the probability the Ched Evans retrial in October will return a not guilty verdict?
Good"
% only please |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
|
"Some new questions for those of you who want to play:
- what is the probability Donald Trump will be elected US President in 2016?
- what is the probability that Owen Smith will be elected leader of the Labour Party at the next leadership election?
- what is the probability that francois Hollande will be re-elected president of France at the next French general election?
- what is the probability that Keith Vaz will be charged by the police with a crime before 1st January 2017?
- what is the probability the Ched Evans retrial in October will return a not guilty verdict?
Remember you don't have to do all of them, pick the ones you want to predict. "
...
I give in. I'm no expert. |
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What is the probability Donald Trump will be elected US President in 2016?
85%
- what is the probability that Owen Smith will be elected leader of the Labour Party at the next leadership election?
5%
- what is the probability that francois Hollande will be re-elected president of France at the next French general election?
20%
- what is the probability that Keith Vaz will be charged by the police with a crime before 1st January 2017?
0%
- what is the probability the Ched Evans retrial in October will return a not guilty verdict
50% |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
|
"Some new questions for those of you who want to play:
- what is the probability Donald Trump will be elected US President in 2016?
50%
- what is the probability that Owen Smith will be elected leader of the Labour Party at the next leadership election?
0%
- what is the probability that francois Hollande will be re-elected president of France at the next French general election?
- what is the probability that Keith Vaz will be charged by the police with a crime before 1st January 2017?
0%
- what is the probability the Ched Evans retrial in October will return a not guilty verdict?
Remember you don't have to do all of them, pick the ones you want to predict. "
|
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"Oh bugger.
Which one of you lot had "The chance Mixedcpl will jump ship before they have to pay up" at 100%?
(bye though  )
Mr ddc"
The prize as stated by Mixedbcouple on the first Brier score thread was that the fab member with the highest score would get an all expenses paid for trip to a swinging club of their choice.
When they did their leaving thread I was in the lead on the Brier score game. 
Not sure what the scores are now as I've not been keeping note?
Mixedbcouple said they would return to announce the winner so it remains to be seen?
Needless to say I've been scouting out which swingers clubs have the highest entry fee though.  |
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"What is the probability Donald Trump will be elected US President in 2016?
85%
- what is the probability that Owen Smith will be elected leader of the Labour Party at the next leadership election?
5%
- what is the probability that francois Hollande will be re-elected president of France at the next French general election?
20%
- what is the probability that Keith Vaz will be charged by the police with a crime before 1st January 2017?
0%
- what is the probability the Ched Evans retrial in October will return a not guilty verdict
50%"
My Briar score went through the roof today |
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